CDC's Panic-porn Mongers

I keep a bookmark folder I’ve labeled “COVID Doom” where I store predictions from the CDC and other frauds, and I pull them out to see how they’ve done on the appropriate daay. Here’s one:

December 15, 2021 CDC news release: “15,600 deaths week of January 8 2022”

Grim new figures from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) have predicted that US COVID-19 deaths will soar by 73 per cent to 15,600 a week by January 8, and that cases will rocket to 1.3 million a week by Christmas Day.

The agency revealed projections on Wednesday afternoon that show America will suffer up to 15,600 new Covid deaths a week as of January 8 - or 2,228 deaths per day - a 58 per cent increase from 8,900 deaths currently being recorded each week, equivalent to 1,285 deaths a day.  

Actual: Deaths increased 30%. Deaths week of December 15, 8,365. Week of January 8, total 10,808, 1,544 per day.

And that’s including all those motorcycle crash victims who tested positive when brought in.

Across the pond, “COVID is now killing half as many people as a bad flu year”.

By Golly, even the New York Times is admitting it: The Great Panic is over.

Before Omicron, a typical vaccinated 75-year-old who contracted Covid had a roughly similar risk of death — around 1 in 200 — as a typical 75-year-old who contracted the flu. (Here are the details behind that calculation, which is based on an academic study.)

Omicron has changed the calculation. Because it is milder than earlier versions of the virus, Covid now appears to present less threat to most vaccinated elderly people than the annual flu does.

The flu, of course, does present risk for the elderly. And the sheer size of the Omicron surge may argue for caution over the next few weeks. But the combination of vaccines and Omicron’s apparent mildness means that, for an individual, Covid increasingly resembles the kind of health risk that people accept every day.