Ukraine Floundered
/Why Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons
On whether Ukraine foresaw the impact of denuclearizing
It is hard to estimate whether Ukrainians would foresee the impact.
It is clear that Ukrainians knew they weren’t getting the exactly legally binding, really robust security guarantees they sought.
But they were told at the time that the United States and Western powers — so certainly at least the United States and Great Britain — take their political commitments really seriously. This is a document signed at the highest level by the heads of state. So the implication was Ukraine would not be left to stand alone and face a threat should it come under one.
And I think perhaps there was even a certain sense of complacency on the Ukrainian part after signing this agreement to say, “Look, we have these guarantees that were signed,” because incidentally, into Ukrainian and Russian, this was translated as a guarantee, not as an assurance.
And: Say goodbye to Ukraine as we know it?
From today’s 10-minute mumble, no press questions permitted:
“Lemme be clear: these are totally defensive moves on our part,” insisted Biden. “We have no intention of fighting Russia.” He then said something telling: “We want to send an unmistakable message, though, that the United States, together with our allies, will defend every inch of NATO territory and abide by the commitments we made to NATO.” Biden made sure to emphasize “NATO territory,” laying it bare that ultimately there would be no action to defend non-NATO-member Ukraine in case of an invasion.
Ol’ Dependables may not know it, but surely his handlers do, Ukraine is not part of NATO.